Stablecoins Are Quietly Becoming the New Banking Rails

For years, the crypto industry promised to reinvent money, and most of those promises went nowhere. Bitcoin became a store-of-value asset and a macro trade. Ethereum became infrastructure for decentralized applications. Thousands of tokens came and went. Through all of it, the traditional financial system kept running on the same rails it had used for decades.

Now something more subtle is happening. The banking system is starting to adopt the technology underneath crypto without adopting crypto’s ideology, and that distinction could turn out to matter a great deal.

On September 28, Citi and Coinbase announced an expanded partnership connecting traditional banking infrastructure with stablecoin payments. Two days later, Lloyds Banking Group and Visa reported that they had completed a live pilot using USDC to settle $750,000 of payment obligations, with funds reaching Visa in under an hour, even over a weekend. The dollar amount is small. The significance is not.

These are pilots and partnerships, not a revolution that has already happened. But they point toward something potentially much bigger: stablecoins evolving from crypto trading instruments into a settlement layer for global banking.

The Important Part Is Not the Stablecoin

Most stablecoin debates focus on whether ordinary people will one day spend USDC or USDT instead of dollars. That may happen, but it misses the more interesting opportunity. The real transformation could take place behind the scenes.

Consider what happens when a multinational company pays a supplier in another country. The transaction may pass through banks in several jurisdictions, correspondent banking relationships, foreign exchange conversions, payment processors, settlement systems and compliance checks, all of them working to different operating hours. The customer sees a single payment. Behind it sits a long chain of institutions.

Blockchain technology offers a radically different possibility. A digital dollar can move across a blockchain at any hour. It does not need a bank branch to open, and it does not care whether it is Saturday morning or Sunday evening.

The challenge has always been connecting that technology to the regulated financial system. That is exactly where the latest developments become interesting.

Citi Is Building the Bridge

Citi and Coinbase are not trying to replace the banking system with a crypto network. They are doing almost the opposite: connecting the two.

Under the expanded arrangement, Coinbase is using Citi’s Virtual Account Wallet, part of Citi’s banking-as-a-service offering, to power Coinbase Virtual Accounts. These give Coinbase payments customers bank-account-like functionality to receive, hold and pay funds, with incoming fiat converted into stablecoins automatically.

On the other side, Citi’s institutional clients can accept stablecoin payments at checkout through Spring by Citi. Coinbase Payments handles the stablecoin acceptance and converts the digital currency into fiat, and Citi settles the funds as bank of record. Merchants can reach more than 150 million stablecoin holders worldwide without ever holding or custodying digital assets themselves. Both services launch first in the United States.

That arrangement reveals where the financial industry may be heading. The customer does not need to understand blockchain. The merchant does not need to hold stablecoins. The bank does not need to abandon its regulatory infrastructure. Blockchain simply becomes an invisible layer underneath familiar financial products.

That is arguably a far more realistic route to mass adoption than expecting consumers to walk away from banks.

Lloyds and Visa Just Tested the Plumbing

The Lloyds and Visa experiment is even more revealing, because it focused on something most consumers never think about: settlement. Settlement is what happens behind the payment, the process through which institutions actually transfer and reconcile the money owed to complete transactions.

Over a seven-day live pilot, Lloyds settled a series of US dollar obligations to Visa totalling $750,000. It bought the USDC through Archax, a UK-regulated digital asset exchange, booked the volume through its Corporate Markets branch in Jersey and sent it to Visa in the United States. Funds arrived in under an hour, including at the weekend, whereas a traditional cross-border settlement started outside banking hours can take a day or more. The test also crossed blockchain environments: Lloyds ran its own node on the Canton Network while Visa settled on a separate public blockchain.

Visa is not dabbling here. Its stablecoin settlement volume passed a $20 billion annualized run rate in September, more than 15 times higher than a year earlier.

This matters because traditional financial infrastructure has a strange mismatch with the modern economy. Businesses increasingly operate around the clock. Markets increasingly operate across borders. Online commerce never closes. Yet parts of the infrastructure supporting all that activity still run on banking hours and settlement windows.

Stablecoins can remove part of that friction. A bank could, in principle, settle a dollar obligation at 2am on a Sunday instead of waiting for Monday morning. That is not much of a crypto slogan. It is extremely interesting as banking infrastructure.

The Threat to Correspondent Banking

This is where the story gets much larger. For decades, correspondent banking has been one of the foundations of international finance. Banks maintain relationships with other banks so that money can move between countries and currencies. It works, but it can also be slow, expensive and operationally complicated.

A blockchain-based settlement network could change the architecture. Instead of asking which banks need to talk to which other banks, the system could increasingly ask which regulated institutions share access to the same digital settlement network. That is a very different model, one that could cut friction from international transfers and make settlement far easier to track.

A reality check is in order, though. Research from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City estimates that less than 1% of stablecoins are currently used for payments, with nearly half still tied up in crypto trading and finance, and a meaningful share locked in bridges that exist only because different blockchains do not talk to each other well. Weak interoperability and limited real-world payment use remain the two biggest obstacles.

The stablecoin revolution has not arrived. But the bank experiments now underway are aimed squarely at those weaknesses. The Lloyds pilot, for instance, deliberately tested settlement across two different networks.

Banks May Not Lose the Stablecoin War. They May Own It

There is an irony here. Crypto was originally sold as an alternative to banks, yet some of the most important stablecoin developments are now being built by banks and payment companies. Citi is plugging stablecoins into regulated banking infrastructure. Visa is scaling stablecoin settlement. Lloyds is testing blockchain-based cross-border settlement. Other institutions are exploring tokenized deposits, digital assets and blockchain-based treasury systems.

The movement runs in the other direction too. S&P Global Market Intelligence describes banking licenses as the new battleground in the stablecoin economy, noting that at least 15 applications for national bank charters linked to digital-asset services have been filed with the US Office of the Comptroller of the Currency since the start of 2025. Stablecoin issuers, asset managers and payments firms want issuance, custody and settlement housed inside regulated institutions that corporate treasurers already trust.

That is a striking reversal of the original crypto narrative. The financial establishment may not need to defeat blockchain. It may simply absorb it, while crypto companies race to become banks themselves.

The Dollar Could Become More Digital Without Becoming Less Dominant

There is a macroeconomic angle as well. Most stablecoins are pegged to the US dollar, which means a world where stablecoins become major global settlement instruments could actually strengthen the dollar’s role in digital commerce.

A company abroad could hold or receive dollar-denominated digital assets without a conventional US bank account. A worker could be paid in digital dollars. A business could settle international invoices in them. A financial institution could move dollar liquidity across borders around the clock. In effect, the internet could become a more efficient exporter of the dollar.

The picture is not entirely one-sided, however. Research commissioned by Visa and produced by blockchain analytics firm Dune found that local currency stablecoins grew roughly 90% in the year to February 2026, against 42% for dollar stablecoins, with euro tokens leading the way. The non-dollar market is still tiny at around $1.2 billion, but it is growing faster from its small base.

So will stablecoins reinforce dollar dominance, or eventually seed a genuinely multicurrency digital ecosystem? Nobody knows yet.

The Biggest Losers May Be the Middle Layers

If stablecoins become widely used for settlement, the biggest disruption may not land on banks themselves. It may land on the layers between banks and customers: payment processors, correspondent banks, foreign exchange intermediaries, settlement providers and parts of the treasury infrastructure stack.

Some of these businesses exist partly because moving money between different financial systems is hard. Make the underlying movement of money faster and more programmable, and some of that complexity becomes unnecessary.

That does not mean these companies disappear. They may move up the stack. Instead of earning fees for moving money, they could increasingly earn them for compliance, liquidity, identity, risk management and services built on top of digital settlement networks. That is how technological disruption often works. The old system rarely vanishes overnight. Its economic centre of gravity shifts.

This Is Bigger Than Another Crypto Trade

In crypto markets the reflex is always to ask which token benefits. That may be the wrong question here. The more useful question for investors is which financial infrastructure becomes more valuable if stablecoins become a mainstream settlement mechanism.

The candidates include stablecoin issuers, exchanges and custody providers, banks that successfully connect traditional accounts to digital assets, payment networks and blockchain infrastructure providers. Possibly the blockchains themselves.

Visa’s own numbers hint at where demand is forming. The company now supports more than 160 stablecoin-linked card programs, with payment volume on them up nearly 200% year on year, and says roughly 17% of that card volume now comes from business and commercial programs. That is a sign companies are starting to use stablecoins for settlement, treasury and cross-border commerce rather than speculation.

But the most important question may be whether stablecoins become invisible. That sounds like failure for crypto. It could be the opposite. If businesses end up using stablecoins without thinking of them as cryptocurrency at all, the technology will have succeeded precisely because nobody notices it anymore.

The Quiet Revolution in Money

Bitcoin was designed to challenge the monetary system. Stablecoins are taking a different route: they are trying to make the existing monetary system programmable. That distinction could prove enormously important.

The Citi, Coinbase, Lloyds and Visa developments do not prove that stablecoins are about to replace banks, cash or conventional payment networks. They are early demonstrations, and serious questions about regulation, liquidity, interoperability and adoption remain unanswered.

What they do show is something that was hard to imagine only a few years ago. Major financial institutions are no longer just discussing blockchain as an interesting technology. They are testing it with real money.

The most consequential part may not happen on a crypto exchange at all. It may happen quietly, inside corporate treasury departments, bank settlement systems and cross-border payment networks.

The next phase of crypto could therefore be far less glamorous than the last. No meme coins, no spectacular token launches, no promises of overnight wealth. Just money moving around the world, 24 hours a day, on blockchain rails.

And if that happens at scale, the biggest crypto story may turn out to be the one that barely looks like crypto at all.

Mark Cannon
Mark Cannon
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